Tucker Carlson. Photo: By Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America – Tucker Carlson, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=192870430
In the early 20th century, there was a flourishing Jewish community in Harbin in the far northeast of China. The community, like the city of Harbin itself, owed its origin to the construction at the turn of the century of the Chinese Eastern Railway, a Russian project that extended the Trans-Siberian Railway eastward toward Vladivostok. As a primarily Russian city, Harbin offered Russian Jews cultural familiarity without the deadly pogroms that plagued Jewish life in Russia proper. Jewish businesses and religious and cultural institutions sprang up.¹
After 1917 thousands of anti-Communist White Russians fleeing the Bolshevik Revolution came to Harbin; many of them were virulently antisemitic. In 1931 the Japanese conquered the region and allied with the Russian Fascists. Jews were kidnapped and murdered.² The Japanese were driven out in 1945, but the Maoist revolutionaries who took over four years later confiscated Jewish businesses. The last Jewish family left Harbin in 1962; one persistent elderly woman refused to leave and remained until her death in 1985. “Harbin was great for the Jews,” writes novelist and essayist Dara Horn, “until it wasn’t.”³
The story of Harbin is a kind of time-lapse photography version of a cycle that has manifested itself in many parts of the world. What took place in Harbin in a few decades has more commonly unfolded over centuries. In some instances, Jews enjoyed long periods of peace and prosperity. Still, place after place – Iraq, Spain, Lithuania, Germany – was great for the Jews until it wasn’t.
A new dimension was added to this complicated story with the founding of the state of Israel in 1948, which raised the question of the relationship between anti-Zionism and antisemitism. This dimension plays into recent developments in the United States – once celebrated as die goldene medine, the golden land. Does American “exceptionalism” exempt Jews in the United States from the pitiless Harbin cycle? Or are the first signs of the cycle entering its negative phase already beginning to show?
Left, right and at the barrel of a gun
To be sure, Jews have experienced – and continue to experience – a level of freedom, security and success in the United States that is rare if not unique in Jewish history. In the United States, Jews have been full citizens, not a tolerated minority. Forms of discrimination – restricted neighbourhoods, university quotas – were mild compared to what Jews were used to in Europe, and even those forms faded after World War II. There are Jewish governors, senators, Supreme Court justices; Joe Biden’s cabinet and inner circle had enough Jewish members to constitute a minyan – a prayer quorum of ten Jews. American Jews have won many Nobel Prizes, in fields ranging from physics to literature. There are Jewish billionaires, every bit as arrogant and obnoxious as goyish ones.
But in recent years, some dark spots have begun to appear in this bright picture. First, there have been major violent incidents in which Jews or Jewish institutions have been targeted, from the murder of 11 congregants during Saturday morning services at the Tree of Life synagogue in Pittsburgh in 2018 to the vehicle ramming and shooting at Temple Israel in a suburb of Detroit this past March. Second, there has been increasing hostility to Israel on the left side of the political spectrum, associated with the war in Gaza that followed Hamas’s attack on Israeli border communities on October 7, 2023. Third, since late 2025 there have been open expressions of antisemitism on the right, in part associated with Israel but also reflecting Christian nationalism and classic antisemitic tropes.
Before proceeding, I need to make some distinctions. Criticism of Israel is precisely that – criticism of Israel. It is not, in itself, anti-Zionism. All states are open to criticism, and Israel has certainly done things that deserve to be criticized. It is not anti-Zionist to condemn Israel’s conduct of the war in Gaza or to call for an end to the occupation of the West Bank. Anti-Zionism is opposition to the existence of Israel as a Jewish state. Zionism, as it took shape in the early 20th century, proposed a Jewish state in at least some part of the territory between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea; such a state came into being in 1948. To be anti-Zionist is to maintain that the state should cease to exist in anything like its present form. And anti-Zionism spills over into antisemitism only if it manifests as hostility not only to a Jewish state but to Jews as such.
Criticism of Israel, anti-Zionism and antisemitism are distinct phenomena, but the distinctions are fuzzy. When Israel is criticized, Jews often think that the critics are not seeing the full context or are unfairly singling Israel out. And anti-Zionists feel threatening because they seem not to be concerned with the question of how the more than seven million Jews currently living between the river and the sea will be served by any alternative arrangement. Nevertheless, criticism of Israel and anti-Zionism are generally regarded as legitimate elements in the political conversation, while antisemitism is not.
Anti-Jewish violence – which has occurred in many parts of the Jewish diaspora, including Canada⁴ – is disturbing and frightening, but it has so far not gone beyond isolated incidents, qualitatively different from the organized, state-sponsored anti-Jewish legislation and violence that occurred in Tsarist Russia in the early 20th century or Nazi Germany in the 1930s. The most prominent left-wing anti-Zionists, such as New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, stay within the bounds of anti-Zionism. Even the popular lef-wing podcaster and influencer Hasan Piker, who expresses his anti-Zionism in what he freely acknowledges is “embellished language,” does not generally stray from attacking Israel into attacking Jews.
If there are signs that the United States is becoming a less favoured country for Jews, they are to be found primarily on the right. Even if some offices such as the New York City mayoralty are in the hands of the left, the right is in power in the United States, and it could remain in power after Donald Trump’s current presidential term ends in 2029. Hence, what happens on the right matters, and needs to be brought to light.
Young Republicans and Groypers
It is perhaps a coincidence, but a suggestive one, that controversy over Israel and Jews on the right erupted a few weeks after the murder of Charlie Kirk on September 10, 2025. For Jews, Kirk was an ambiguous figure. He was – among other retrograde views that he held – a proponent of the Great Replacement Theory. (“They are trying to replace us demographically. They’re trying to make the country less White.”) His vision of America was very much bound up with Christianity. But he was also a firm supporter of Israel, and he apparently had a philosemitic streak. His final, posthumously published book, Stop, in the Name of God, was a plea for sabbath observance. Even though the Presbyterian denomination in which Kirk was raised has particularly strong traditions of Sunday observance, the sabbath Kirk promoted was the Jewish sabbath, sunset Friday to sunset Saturday, albeit with a Christian spin.
While Kirk managed to hold these contradictions in tension, after his death the glue that held the MAGA movement together seemed to weaken. The first indication of trouble came with the revelation by Politico on October 14 that a group chat among leaders of the Young Republicans, including staffers in Washington offices, was riddled with racist, misogynist, homophobic and antisemitic comments. “I love Hitler,” posted one participant. Others spoke favourably of gas chambers.
If the culture prevailing among Young Republicans that Politico exposed was disturbing, the reaction of some senior Republicans, most notably Vice President JD Vance, was no less so. “The reality is that kids do stupid things, especially young boys,” Vance said. “They tell edgy, offensive jokes. That’s what kids do. And I really don’t want us to grow up in a country where a kid telling a stupid joke – telling a very offensive, stupid joke – is cause to ruin their lives.” Some of the “kids” were only a few years younger than Vance himself, who is 41.
The dust was just settling from the Young Republicans revelations when another controversy broke out. Vance’s friend Tucker Carlson, credited with helping to persuade Donald Trump to choose Vance as his running mate, hosted the 27-year-old influencer Nick Fuentes on The Tucker Carlson Show, one of the most popular podcasts in the United States. Fuentes, who has his own livestreamed show and an army of followers known as “Groypers,” is given to statements like “Hitler is awesome” and blames “organized Jewry” for many of the problems facing the United States. He and his followers are disappointed by what they see as Donald Trump’s failure to carry out the thorough “America First” transformation they were hoping for and regard Charlie Kirk’s Turning Point USA (now headed by his widow Erika Kirk) as too mainstream. In the interview, Carlson, himself no stranger to conspiracy theories and antisemitic innuendo, gave Fuentes largely sympathetic treatment.
Carlson drew a storm of criticism, including from the right, for giving Fuentes a platform that conferred right-wing respectability. But there were exceptions. Kevin Roberts, president of the Heritage Foundation, the conservative think tank whose Project 2025 provided a policy framework for the second Trump administration’s assault on the federal government, defended Carlson and called his critics a “venomous coalition.” Many Heritage staffers were appalled, some resigned, and Roberts partially walked back his comments.
At war at Israel’s side
These controversies and tensions were continuing on a low boil when a new chapter opened with the American-Israeli attack on Iran that began on February 28. The war was unpopular in the United States from the beginning, and was criticized from many quarters and on many grounds. There was the failure to consult Congress (as required by law) and to provide any convincing rationale for the war to the American people. The absence of strategic planning. The failure to anticipate that Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz and cut off a significant portion of the world’s oil supply, with an immediate and substantial impact on gasoline prices. But for some on the American right, the worst feature of the attack was that it was carried out in conjunction with Israel. Once again Tucker Carlson was a key figure.
An April 7 New York Times article by White House reporters Jonathan Swan and Maggie Haberman would be extensively cited in support of the proposition that Israel, and specifically Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, talked Trump into participating in the attack. The article began with a vivid description of a February 11 meeting in the White House Situation Room at which Netanyahu made his case for the attack to Trump and his team. Opening with “The black S.U.V. carrying Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrived at the White House just before 11 a.m. on Feb. 11,” Swan and Haberman went on to specify where each participant sat at the Situation Room’s mahogany conference table. They described Netanyahu’s presentation as a “hard sell” that was “pivotal in setting the United States and Israel on the path” toward attacking Iran.
They noted the hesitancy of some members of Trump’s team. CIA Director John Ratcliffe characterized Netanyahu’s assertion that the attack would bring down the Iranian regime as “farcical,” and Secretary of State Marco Rubio called it “bullshit.” Vice President Vance, a longtime sceptic regarding U.S. intervention abroad (he was not at the Situation Room meeting because he was in Azerbaijan at the time), was opposed to the attack.
However, nowhere did Swan and Haberman suggest that Trump was anything but a fully willing participant. They reported that “Mr. Trump’s hawkish thinking aligned with Mr. Netanyahu’s over many months.” Indeed, that Netanyahu’s
view of the situation was far closer to Mr. Trump’s opinion than the anti-interventionists on the Trump team or in the broader “America First” movement liked to admit … had been true for many years. Of all the foreign policy challenges Mr. Trump had confronted across two presidencies, Iran stood apart. He regarded it as a uniquely dangerous adversary and was willing to take great risks to hinder the regime’s ability to wage war or to acquire a nuclear weapon.
In other words, if Netanyahu persuaded Trump to go to war with Iran, Trump was ripe for being persuaded. But that’s not the way Tucker Carlson saw it.
The musings of Tucker Carlson
Carlson supported Trump in his 2024 presidential campaign, but the war in Iran was more than he could tolerate. The breaking point was the infamous message Trump posted to Truth Social on April 5, Easter Sunday, in which he threatened to destroy Iranian infrastructure and said that the “crazy bastards” in Iran would be “living in Hell” if they didn’t open the Strait of Hormuz.
Carlson announced his break with Trump in an episode of The Tucker Carlson Show on April 20 in which he appeared with his brother Buckley, a former Trump speechwriter. He described himself as “tormented” by his past support for the President. Carlson followed up by giving a long interview to New York Times reporter Lulu Garcia-Navarro. In Carlson’s view, Trump betrayed the interests of the United States by acting first and foremost in the interests of Israel. And furthermore, he didn’t do this voluntarily. Rather, he “was more a hostage than a sovereign decision-maker.”
Garcia-Navarro pressed him to “be explicit. Trump is being held hostage by whom?”
“By Benjamin Netanyahu and by his many advocates in the United States,” Carlson replied.
Elsewhere, Carlson referred to Trump as a “slave,” and described Netanyahu’s hold over him as “total control of one man by another … And he is looking out for Israel first. That’s outrageous.”
While Carlson was somewhat on the defensive in the New York Times interview, he was more relaxed in his conversation with Buckley. The two brothers were open in their machismo, misogyny, homophobia and anti-Black racism. The antisemitism was more by innuendo.
One sequence began with criticism that could be construed as legitimate.⁵ Buckley pointed out that Miriam Adelson, heir to her late husband Sheldon Adelson’s vast casino fortune and a strong advocate of pro-Israel policies, was one of the largest donors to Trump’s 2024 campaign. Tucker insinuated that Trump’s loyalty to Miriam Adelson was strange in light of “his demonstrated disloyalty and viciousness to previous supporters.” And then the conversation veered into more questionable territory, with Tucker in the lead.
Tucker had previously concocted a conspiracy theory blaming the Chabad chasidic sect for the attack on Iran, citing (among other things) the conviction of some Chabad members that their longtime leader, Rabbi Menachem Mendel Schneerson (1902–94), was the messiah and the belief in a future Third Temple to be constructed in the messianic age. In his conversation with Buckley, he returned to the subject of Rabbi Schneerson.
His entry point was the widely ridiculed image Trump posted of himself as a Jesus-like figure, which Tucker interpreted as an “attack” on Jesus – on a Sunday, no less. “But the one person he’s never going to attack,” Tucker went on, “is Rabbi Schneerson.” He made it clear that he believed it was wrong to attack any religiom and he was not suggesting that Trump should attack Rabbi Schneerson: “He should not. But he never would. He’d die first.”
Buckley then brought up another sore point, Trump’s failure to place his hand on the Bible when he took the oath of office at his 2025 inauguration, which Buckley saw as evidence that he’s “a totally secular human being.” Tucker disagreed: “I don’t think it means he’s a secular person. I think it means he’s got a different religion.” Which religion would that be, Tucker?
What happens next?
I’ve focused on Tucker Carlson because of his unmatched influence and reach, but there are others. Candace Owens is another podcaster with a large audience and a penchant for conspiracy theories. Formerly the host of a show on the Daily Wire, the media outlet led by Jewish conservative commentator Ben Shapiro, she was fired in 2024 as a result of her growing antisemitism. After leaving the Daily Wire, she blamed Jews for the transatlantic slave trade and denied that Nazi doctor Joseph Mengele carried out medical experiments on concentration camp inmates. She attributed the murder of Charlie Kirk to a conspiracy and pointed to texts suggesting that Kirk might have been about to withdraw his support of Israel, hinting that the conspiracy might have had Israeli origins.
Meanwhile, Nick Fuentes’s army of Groypers marches on. In November 2025, the conservative writer Rod Dreher estimated that up to 40 per cent of Generation Z (roughly, born after 1997 – the generation that has never known a world without the internet) staffers in Republican politics were Groypers. When New Yorker staff writer Antonia Hitchens asked a Trump administration official about Dreher’s estimate, the official said that the proportion of staffers who would come across to most people as Groypers was closer to 75 per cent.
Over at the Pentagon the self-styled Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, mixes Christian prayer into the warrior spirit with which he wants to imbue the American military. He sports tattoos evoking the Crusades, in which tens of thousands of Jews as well as Muslims were killed. Hegseth accused the media of acting like “Pharisees” in their criticism of the war in Iran: “Even though they witnessed a literal miracle, it didn’t matter. They were only there to explain away the goodness in pursuit of their agenda.” The Pharisees, portrayed as nitpickers in the New Testament, were instrumental in developing the Jewish tradition based on prayer and study that replaced the biblical practice of animal sacrifice and that has endured into modern times.
Of course, this is not all there is to the American right. Jewish right-wing influencers such as Ben Shapiro and Laura Loomer call out antiesmitism and dcfend Israel. Shapiro, whose talent for invective rivals Donald Trump’s, has called Tucker Carlson a “super spreader of vile ideas,” Candace Owens “the ranting bag lady of the internet” and Nick Fuentes “a confirmed Nazi.” Israel still has conservative Republican supporters in Congress, such as Senators Ted Cruz of Texas and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina. U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee continues to carry the torch of Christian Zionism, a theological formulation that once kept millions of evangelical Christians in Israel’s column.
But, as the Washington Post reported in early May, Shapiro’s Daily Wire, once a dominant force in right-wing media, has been losing money and laying off staff; its website traffic in March 2026 was half of what it was a year earlier. And while there are still more Christian Zionists in the world than Jewish ones, Christian Zionism holds little appeal for younger American evangelicals. The energy is on the other side.
American antisemites have occupied positions of influence and commanded large audiences before: Henry Ford, Charles Lindbergh, Father Charles Coughlin. Father Coughlin, a silver-tongued, Canadian-born Catholic priest whose message combined Christianity, anti-Communism, antisemitism and economic populism, reached an audience of tens of millions with his Detroit-based weekly radio show in the 1930s.⁶ Still, none of these figures attained majority support and the country eventually moved on.
So where is the United States heading now? The whole Trump era could turn out to be an aberration. A moderate Democrat or old-style “normie” Republican could succeed Trump in the White House, with Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens and the Groypers retreating to the margins. But that is only one scenario. Trump could also be the prelude to something worse, the dumbshow before the real tragedy.
At this early stage, the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is Vice President Vance – who is close to Carlson and who refused to repudiate the racist, misogynist, antisemitic Young Republicans. Would these people be influential in a Vance administration? Another possibility is that Tucker Carlson himself could be the nominee. If this seems farfetched, think how farfetched it would have seemed in mid-2014 that Donald Trump would be a serious GOP presidential candidate two years later, let alone a successful one. Whatever else may be said about Carlson, he is a highly skilled communicator with millions of followers. Like Father Coughlin, he mixes his antisemitism with economic populism: “The idea that you could have a global financial crisis and no one responsible for it goes to jail, and the only people who suffer are the people who took the loans, not the ones who issued the loans? I felt like that’s just not fair.” Haven’t we heard this before?
Considered in historical perspective, the United States, for the moment, is still good for the Jews. But they can’t be blamed for looking over their shoulders.


